Finance

AST SpaceMobile’s Bold Satellite Expansion Set to Boost Connectivity

Discover how AST SpaceMobile’s plan to deploy 45–60 satellites by 2026 aims to revolutionize direct-to-smartphone broadband, reshaping the satellite communications landscape and impacting stock performance.

Valeria Orlova's avatar
Valeria OrlovaStaff
5 min read

Key Takeaways

  • AST SpaceMobile plans 45–60 satellites by 2026 for direct smartphone broadband.
  • First five BlueBird satellites feature largest commercial arrays in LEO.
  • U.S. intermittent service expected by late 2025, expanding globally in 2026.
  • ASTS stock surged 39.4% in past year, outpacing industry growth.
  • Major partnerships include Verizon and Vodafone, with spectrum acquisitions fueling expansion.
a satellite in space
AST SpaceMobile Satellite Fleet Expansion

Imagine a world where your smartphone connects directly to satellites orbiting Earth, no ground towers needed. AST SpaceMobile is turning this vision into reality with an ambitious plan to deploy between 45 and 60 satellites by 2026. This bold move aims to blanket the U.S. and key global markets with direct-to-device broadband, transforming how we stay connected.

Already, ASTS has launched five BlueBird satellites boasting the largest commercial communication arrays ever deployed in low Earth orbit. Their phased array technology promises stronger signals and broader coverage. The company’s stock has reflected this momentum, soaring 39.4% over the past year, well ahead of industry peers.

In this article, we’ll unpack ASTS’s satellite expansion, explore its technological breakthroughs, examine its competitive landscape, and weigh the risks and rewards for investors and consumers alike.

Scaling Satellite Deployment

AST SpaceMobile’s plan to deploy 45 to 60 satellites by 2026 is nothing short of audacious. Picture going from six satellites today to nearly ten times that number in just a couple of years. This rapid expansion involves launching satellites every one to two months, a cadence that demands precision and relentless execution.

Why does scale matter? More satellites mean broader coverage and better service quality. ASTS’s current fleet includes five fully operational BlueBird satellites, each equipped with massive communication arrays spanning 693 square feet. These arrays aren’t just big—they’re designed to boost signal strength and capacity, allowing the company to reuse spectrum more efficiently.

The goal is to offer intermittent nationwide service in the U.S. by late 2025, followed by expansions into the UK, Japan, and Canada in early 2026. This timeline reflects a carefully choreographed dance of manufacturing, launching, and regulatory approvals. The stakes are high, but the payoff could be a satellite network that redefines connectivity for millions.

Advancing Direct-to-Device Tech

ASTS’s technology is its secret sauce. Unlike traditional satellite internet that requires special terminals, AST SpaceMobile’s satellites connect directly to standard smartphones. Imagine making a call or streaming video from your phone, even in the most remote locations, without any extra gear.

This leap hinges on phased array technology, where tiny components called microns are assembled to create powerful, steerable antennas. ASTS has completed this assembly for eight Block 2 BlueBird satellites, aiming to match the capacity of 40 satellites by early 2026. This vertical integration—controlling 95% of manufacturing—gives ASTS a unique edge in scaling production.

Proof of concept is already in the books: the first space-based voice call to an unmodified phone happened in April 2023, followed by 4G downloads exceeding 10 Mbps and 5G voice calls. The upcoming milestone is a space-based video call via satellite, slated for January 2025. These achievements aren’t just tech demos—they’re signals that ASTS’s vision is taking flight.

Leveraging Spectrum and Partnerships

In satellite communications, spectrum is king. ASTS recently acquired 60 MHz of global S-Band spectrum for $64.5 million, adding to its portfolio that includes pending access to up to 45 MHz of L-Band spectrum in North America. While some analysts question the strategic value of the S-Band holdings, these airwaves are essential lanes for wireless traffic.

Partnerships amplify ASTS’s reach. Verizon’s $100 million commitment for premium 850 MHz spectrum aims to secure full U.S. coverage. Globally, ASTS has agreements with nearly 50 mobile operators, collectively serving up to 2 billion customers. In Europe, a joint venture with Vodafone, dubbed SatCo, is gaining traction with EU member states.

These alliances aren’t just business deals—they’re endorsements of ASTS’s direct-to-device model. By collaborating with established telecom giants, ASTS taps into existing infrastructure and customer bases, smoothing the path for adoption.

Navigating Competitive Pressures

AST SpaceMobile isn’t alone in the satellite race. Competitors like Iridium Communications and Viasat are formidable players. Iridium operates a mesh network of 66 LEO satellites, offering global voice and data services, and is investing in direct-to-device satellite offerings. Viasat is developing the ViaSat-3 broadband platform, promising nearly ten times the bandwidth of its predecessor and recently demonstrated direct-to-device services in India with BSNL.

ASTS differentiates itself by focusing on mainstream smartphone compatibility and deep telecom partnerships. This strategy aims to sidestep the need for specialized hardware, a common barrier in satellite internet adoption. However, the competition’s scale and technological advances mean ASTS must execute flawlessly to maintain its edge.

Investors have noticed: ASTS stock surged 39.4% over the past year, outpacing the industry’s 25.6% growth. Yet, with a forward price-to-sales ratio of 89.41, the market is pricing in high expectations, underscoring the pressure to deliver.

Balancing Risks and Rewards

Ambition comes with risks. ASTS has faced delays, notably with its FM1 prototype satellite, whose launch date remains unconfirmed. Manufacturing at scale, launch logistics, and regulatory approvals are complex puzzles that must fit perfectly.

Spectrum value debates add another layer of uncertainty. While the S-Band acquisition expands ASTS’s airwave portfolio, some industry watchers question its strategic fit. Execution risk looms large—any hiccup could ripple through service rollouts and investor confidence.

Still, the company’s fully funded expansion plan and growing revenue estimates—projected between $50 million and $75 million in the second half of 2025—signal strong momentum. For investors and consumers alike, ASTS’s journey is a high-stakes story of innovation, resilience, and the quest to connect the unconnected.

Long Story Short

AST SpaceMobile’s aggressive satellite rollout signals a new chapter in space-based connectivity. By targeting direct broadband to everyday smartphones, ASTS challenges traditional satellite internet models and aims to bridge communication gaps in remote areas. The company’s partnerships and spectrum acquisitions add muscle to its ambitious vision. While the stock’s impressive gains reflect investor enthusiasm, hurdles remain—from launch delays to debates over spectrum value. Execution will be key as ASTS scales manufacturing and navigates regulatory landscapes. Yet, the potential to reshape global connectivity is undeniable. For those watching the satellite communications sector, ASTS offers a compelling story of innovation meeting opportunity. Its journey over the next two years will be a test of technology, strategy, and market appetite—one that could reward patient investors and expand the digital frontier for millions.

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Core considerations

AST SpaceMobile’s satellite expansion is a bold bet on direct-to-device broadband, but it’s no sure thing. The rapid launch schedule demands flawless execution amid manufacturing and regulatory hurdles. Spectrum acquisitions, while critical, carry strategic debates that could impact service quality. Investors should weigh the high valuation against the company’s growth potential and operational risks.

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Our take

AST SpaceMobile’s vision to connect smartphones directly via satellites is a game changer, but patience is key. Investors should watch execution milestones closely, especially launch cadence and service rollouts. For consumers, this tech promises to shrink connectivity gaps, especially in remote areas. Keep an eye on partnerships—they’re the bridge between innovation and real-world impact.

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