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Dogecoin and Solana Set to Break September Crypto Curse in 2025

Discover how Dogecoin and Solana defy September’s crypto slump with bullish momentum, ETF catalysts, and strong technical signals, reshaping investor optimism in the 2025 crypto landscape.

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Valeria OrlovaStaff
4 min read

Key Takeaways

  • Dogecoin and Solana defy September’s historical crypto weakness
  • Technical indicators show strong bullish momentum for both coins
  • Dogecoin’s upcoming ETF launch fuels institutional interest
  • Solana’s golden cross signals accelerating upward price trends
  • Short-term corrections possible but overall medium-term outlook remains positive
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Dogecoin and Solana Crypto Rally

September has long been the crypto market’s dreaded month, often tagged with the infamous "crypto curse" due to persistent downturns. Yet, in 2025, Dogecoin (DOGE) and Solana (SOL) are rewriting this narrative with robust technical breakouts and fresh catalysts. Dogecoin’s breakout above key resistance and the anticipated launch of the REX-Osprey Dogecoin ETF are sparking renewed investor enthusiasm. Meanwhile, Solana’s golden cross and strong trend indicators suggest it’s riding a wave of momentum that defies seasonal headwinds. This article dives into how these two altcoins are poised to break the September slump, what the charts reveal, and what investors should watch next.

Breaking September’s Crypto Curse

September has earned a notorious reputation in crypto circles as a month of gloom. Institutional portfolio reshuffling and a post-summer lull often sap risk appetite, dragging prices down. Think of it as the market’s annual hangover after the summer party. But 2025 is flipping the script. Dogecoin and Solana are showing signs of shaking off this seasonal weakness. The Altcoin Season Index hitting 80 points—the highest in 2025—signals that investors are warming up to riskier bets again. Meanwhile, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index climbing from 39 to 53 reflects a growing bullish mood. This shift is no small feat; it suggests that the usual September blues might finally be losing their grip.

Dogecoin’s Bullish Breakout

Dogecoin’s recent price action reads like a comeback story. After months of being stuck in a descending trendline, DOGE broke free, clearing the $0.27 resistance zone decisively. This breakout ended a long period of price compression, signaling a fresh bullish phase. The coin is comfortably trading above its 20-day and 50-day EMAs, a classic sign of sustained buying pressure. Its RSI at 74 shows strong buyer conviction, though it nudges into overbought territory, hinting at possible short-term pullbacks. Adding fuel to the fire is the upcoming launch of the REX-Osprey Dogecoin ETF in the U.S. This ETF promises to open institutional floodgates, potentially unlocking new liquidity and mainstream adoption. While regulatory delays on other spot DOGE ETFs exist, experts view these as procedural rather than rejection, keeping the door open for future inflows.

Solana’s Golden Cross Momentum

Solana is riding a parallel wave of bullish momentum. The coin recently entered "golden cross" territory, where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day average—a technical hallmark of accelerating upward trends. SOL’s price surged nearly 10% since last Monday, peaking at $244.08 before settling around $232. Its RSI at 65 indicates strong buying momentum, not yet overbought, while an ADX of 33 confirms a powerful trend strength. However, the Squeeze Momentum indicator hints at a bearish impulse, suggesting a possible short-term correction. This tug-of-war between price action and momentum paints a picture of a market at a crossroads—either continuing its bullish climb or pausing for a brief pullback. Despite this, the medium to long-term outlook remains bullish, supported by Solana’s growing ecosystem and institutional interest.

ETF Catalysts Driving Optimism

Institutional interest is a game-changer for crypto, and ETFs are the bridge connecting Wall Street to altcoins. Dogecoin’s REX-Osprey ETF launch is a prime example, offering a new, regulated avenue for institutional exposure. This development is more than just a product launch; it’s a signal that crypto is maturing and attracting serious capital. On prediction markets like Myriad, users assign an 88% chance of a Federal Reserve rate cut, which historically boosts risk assets including crypto. This macro backdrop, combined with ETF optimism, is unleashing roughly $7 trillion in money market funds potentially flowing into risk-on assets. Solana’s odds of hitting $250 before dropping to $130 stand at 90%, with a 59% chance of surpassing its all-time high of $294 this year. These figures underscore a market brimming with bullish expectations fueled by institutional catalysts.

Navigating Risks and Opportunities

While the charts and catalysts paint an optimistic picture, caution is warranted. Both Dogecoin and Solana show signs of overbought conditions, which often precede short-term corrections. Dogecoin’s RSI at 74 and Solana’s Squeeze Momentum indicator’s bearish impulse suggest that dips could be on the horizon. Regulatory delays, especially around spot ETFs, remain a wildcard that can sway sentiment quickly. Moreover, broader macroeconomic factors like inflation at 2.9% and unemployment at 4.2% provide the Federal Reserve cover to ease rates, but any unexpected shifts could rattle markets. Investors should watch key support levels—$0.27 for DOGE and the upper side of Solana’s ascending channel—and be ready for volatility. The evolving institutional participation and mainstream adoption will be critical to sustaining momentum beyond September.

Long Story Short

September 2025 is shaping up as a turning point for Dogecoin and Solana, two altcoins historically shadowed by the month’s bearish trends. Their recent technical strength, combined with institutional catalysts like Dogecoin’s ETF debut, paints a picture of resilience and renewed optimism. While short-term pullbacks are on the radar due to overbought signals, the broader momentum suggests these coins are carving out a new path. For investors, this means watching key support levels and market sentiment closely, as the unfolding institutional participation could unlock fresh liquidity and sustained growth. The relief of breaking a long-standing crypto curse might just be within reach.

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Core considerations

The September crypto curse isn’t a fixed law but a seasonal pattern shaped by institutional behaviors and liquidity cycles. Dogecoin and Solana’s 2025 rallies challenge this narrative, yet overbought momentum indicators warn against blind optimism. ETF launches are powerful catalysts but come with regulatory uncertainties that can disrupt price stability. Macro factors like Fed rate decisions and inflation data remain pivotal, influencing risk appetite across markets. Investors should balance enthusiasm with vigilance, recognizing that technical strength and institutional interest are necessary but not sufficient for sustained gains.

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Our take

If you’re eyeing Dogecoin or Solana this September, keep your excitement tempered with a clear view of the risks. The technical breakouts and ETF catalysts are promising, but overbought signals and regulatory delays could trigger short-term dips. Use key support levels as your safety nets and watch macroeconomic cues closely. Remember, breaking a long-standing crypto curse is a marathon, not a sprint—stay patient and informed.

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