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NVIDIA’s Q1 Fiscal 2026: Navigating AI Growth Amid Export Challenges

Explore NVIDIA’s record-breaking Q1 fiscal 2026 results, the impact of U.S. export controls on H20 chips, and how the AI infrastructure giant is steering through regulatory headwinds with strong growth prospects.

Valeria Orlova's avatar
Valeria OrlovaStaff
5 min read

Key Takeaways

  • NVIDIA posted record $44.1B revenue, up 69% year-over-year
  • U.S. export controls on H20 chips caused a $4.5B charge and shipment delays
  • Excluding H20 impact, non-GAAP gross margin would have been a strong 71.3%
  • Blackwell AI supercomputer is in full-scale production, driving AI demand
  • Wall Street remains bullish despite earnings miss, citing long-term AI growth
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NVIDIA Q1 Fiscal 2026 Earnings Highlights

NVIDIA’s first quarter fiscal 2026 results tell a story of soaring AI demand shadowed by geopolitical hurdles. The chip giant reported a staggering $44.1 billion in revenue, marking a 69% jump from last year, yet faced a $4.5 billion hit due to new U.S. export licensing rules restricting H20 chip sales to China. This unexpected twist forced NVIDIA to write down excess inventory and miss out on $2.5 billion in shipments. Still, CEO Jensen Huang’s vision of AI as essential infrastructure resonates strongly, with the Blackwell NVL72 AI supercomputer now powering a new wave of AI adoption. Wall Street’s reaction? A cautious nod of approval, betting on NVIDIA’s resilience and growth beyond the current export setback. Let’s unpack how NVIDIA’s financials, product launches, and market dynamics weave together in this pivotal moment for AI and tech investing.

Reporting Record Revenue

NVIDIA’s Q1 fiscal 2026 revenue hit a jaw-dropping $44.1 billion, a 69% leap from the previous year and a 12% rise quarter-over-quarter. Imagine a tech company growing this fast in a single year — it’s like sprinting while others jog. This surge reflects the insatiable appetite for AI infrastructure worldwide, with NVIDIA firmly at the helm. CEO Jensen Huang’s declaration that AI is becoming as essential as electricity or the internet isn’t just hype; it’s backed by the numbers. The company’s GAAP net income climbed 26% year-over-year to $18.8 billion, and earnings per share rose 27% to $0.76, adjusted for a recent stock split. These figures paint a picture of a company riding the AI wave with momentum few can match.

Yet, beneath the headline growth lies complexity. Operating expenses jumped 44% year-over-year to $5.03 billion, signaling heavy investment in research and development. This isn’t a company resting on past laurels; it’s doubling down on innovation. Cash reserves swelled to $53.7 billion, up from $43.2 billion last quarter, giving NVIDIA a war chest to fuel future breakthroughs. The financials tell a story of robust growth paired with strategic reinvestment — a balancing act that keeps NVIDIA ahead in the AI arms race.

Facing H20 Export Challenges

April 9, 2025, marked a turning point when the U.S. government mandated export licenses for NVIDIA’s H20 AI chips destined for China. This regulatory curveball forced NVIDIA to take a hefty $4.5 billion charge for excess inventory and purchase obligations, as demand from China evaporated overnight. Before the new rules, H20 sales reached $4.6 billion in the quarter, but the company couldn’t ship an additional $2.5 billion worth of products. It’s a stark reminder that even tech titans must navigate the unpredictable tides of geopolitics.

The impact on margins was immediate. GAAP gross margin dropped to 60.5%, down from 78.4% a year ago, primarily due to the H20 charge. However, excluding this setback, NVIDIA’s non-GAAP gross margin would have been a robust 71.3%, signaling strong underlying profitability. The export restrictions not only dented earnings but also cast a shadow over future sales, with NVIDIA estimating an $8 billion H20 revenue loss in the next quarter. This setback highlights the delicate dance between innovation, market access, and international policy — a dance NVIDIA must master to maintain its lead.

Driving AI Infrastructure Demand

At the heart of NVIDIA’s growth story is its AI infrastructure business, which CEO Jensen Huang describes as experiencing "incredibly strong" global demand. The Blackwell NVL72 AI supercomputer, dubbed a 'thinking machine' designed for reasoning, is now in full-scale production. This isn’t just tech jargon — it means NVIDIA’s cutting-edge AI chips are powering cloud providers and system makers at an unprecedented scale.

AI inference token generation, a measure of AI’s decision-making activity, surged tenfold year-over-year, reflecting how AI agents are becoming mainstream. This explosion in AI usage is driving demand for NVIDIA’s products beyond gaming and visualization into professional and industrial realms. The company’s partnerships with giants like Microsoft and OpenAI underscore its central role in fueling the AI revolution. NVIDIA’s AI infrastructure isn’t just a product line; it’s the backbone of a new industrial era.

Balancing Gaming and Visualization Growth

While AI grabs headlines, NVIDIA’s gaming and professional visualization segments continue to shine. Gaming revenue soared 42% year-over-year to $3.8 billion, fueled by launches like the GeForce RTX 5070/5060 and innovations such as DLSS 4. The confirmation that Nintendo Switch 2 will use NVIDIA’s AI-powered chips adds another feather to its cap, expanding the company’s footprint in consumer tech.

Professional visualization revenue also climbed 19% year-over-year to $509 million, boosted by new RTX PRO Blackwell series and DGX Spark AI workstations. These products cater to creative professionals and enterprises pushing the boundaries of design and simulation. This dual growth in gaming and visualization showcases NVIDIA’s ability to diversify its revenue streams while leveraging AI advancements across sectors. It’s a reminder that behind every AI breakthrough, there’s a vibrant ecosystem of products driving sustained growth.

Wall Street’s Bullish Outlook

Despite the earnings miss tied to H20 export restrictions, Wall Street has largely given NVIDIA a pass. Shares jumped 5% after hours, reflecting investor confidence in the company’s long-term trajectory. Analysts highlight NVIDIA’s goal to achieve mid-70% gross margins later this year, a sign of management’s faith in efficient Blackwell chip production ramp-up.

HSBC analyst Ryan Mellor summed it up: "No beat and raise again, but good enough to avoid disappointment." The market’s optimism stems from NVIDIA’s dominant AI position and accelerating demand from hyperscalers like Microsoft and OpenAI. However, concerns linger over China, which represents a $50 billion near-future market. Without access, NVIDIA risks ceding ground to local competitors like Huawei. Still, CEO Jensen Huang’s vision of AI as essential infrastructure and NVIDIA’s robust product pipeline keep investors betting on a bright future. The takeaway? Even in turbulent times, innovation and strategic leadership can steer a tech giant through uncertainty.

Long Story Short

NVIDIA’s Q1 fiscal 2026 results capture the exhilarating highs and sobering realities of leading the AI revolution amid global trade tensions. The $4.5 billion charge linked to H20 export restrictions is a stark reminder that even tech giants must navigate geopolitical crosswinds. Yet, the company’s core AI infrastructure business, fueled by the Blackwell supercomputer and surging AI token generation, remains a powerhouse. Wall Street’s upbeat response underscores confidence in NVIDIA’s ability to rebound and sustain growth, with gross margins expected to climb back above 70% next quarter. For investors and tech enthusiasts alike, NVIDIA’s journey is a masterclass in balancing innovation with external challenges. The lesson? In the fast-evolving world of AI, resilience and vision matter as much as raw numbers. Keep an eye on NVIDIA’s next moves—they’re shaping the future of computing, one chip at a time.

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Core considerations

NVIDIA’s Q1 results reveal that explosive growth can coexist with geopolitical setbacks, but the export controls on H20 chips underscore the fragility of global supply chains. The company’s strong non-GAAP margins suggest core profitability remains intact, yet reliance on the Chinese market poses a significant risk. Wall Street’s bullish stance reflects faith in NVIDIA’s AI leadership, but the $8 billion expected revenue loss next quarter is a sobering reality. Investors should weigh NVIDIA’s innovation prowess against regulatory headwinds and market access challenges.

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Our take

NVIDIA’s story is a masterclass in balancing innovation with real-world challenges. If you’re an investor or tech enthusiast, watch how the company navigates export hurdles without losing momentum. The Blackwell AI supercomputer’s rapid adoption is a beacon of growth, but geopolitical risks remind us that no tech giant is immune to global forces. Stay curious, stay cautious, and appreciate that resilience is as valuable as raw numbers in today’s markets.

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